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One important variable will be Quibi’s churn rate, the percentage of subscribers who drop the service each year. If it tracks closer to that of Netflix, often estimated to be less than 10% annually, the company will face much less fundraising pressure. If it tracks closer to last year’s industry average of 35%, according to researcher Parks Associates, Quibi’s problems would grow significantly. By 2030, the company could be facing a shortfall of greater than $10 billion.