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2001 HOME SECURITY FORECAST

AN INDUSTRY REPORT FROM PARKS ASSOCIATES

 

Publish Date: OCT 01
Purchase Report Online

SYNOPSIS
The 2001 Home Security Forecast provides forecast data for dealer-installed, custom, mass-market, and Do-It-Yourself security system installations and monitoring across all categories of existing and new-start homes. This report also provides detailed data on residential security industry revenues and includes 70 different figures, charts, and graphs, as well as the detailed forecast model.

 

CONTENTS

1.0 Executive Summary
  
1.1 Forecast Methodology
      1.1.1 Housing
      1.1.2 Housing Value
      1.1.3 New Housing Starts vs. Existing Housing
      1.1.4 Data Sources
      1.1.5 Forecast Techniques
   1.2 System Classifications
      1.2.1 Mass-Market Monitored Security Systems
      1.2.2 Custom Monitored Security Systems
      1.2.3 Do-It-Yourself Security Systems
      1.2.4 Dealer-Installed Security Systems
      1.2.5 Intelligent Security Systems
   1.3 Key Forecast Assumptions
      1.3.1 Base Housing Stock
      1.3.2 Housing Value Categories
      1.3.3 New Home Sales
      1.3.4 System Classifications
      1.3.5 Replacement Sales
      1.3.6 Hardware Pricing
      1.3.7 Average Price for Monitoring
   1.4 Summary of Findings
      1.4.1 Initial Sales of Security Systems by Category
      1.4.2 Total Homes with Security Systems
      1.4.3 Total Residential Security Revenues
      1.4.4 Remaining Market Size

2.0 Sizing the Market: Housing Penetration by Market Segmentation
  
2.1 Established Housing Forecasts
   2.2 Security Unit and Penetration Forecasts: Existing Homes
   2.3 New-Start Housing Forecasts
      2.3.1 Security Unit and Penetration Forecasts: New-Start Homes
      2.3.2 Security Unit and Penetration Forecasts: Total Initial Sales
      2.3.3 Total Homes with Security Systems

3.0 Security Industry Revenue Forecasts
  
3.1 Average Security System Price Forecasts
      3.1.1 Do-It-Yourself System Hardware
      3.1.2 Regular Dealer-Installed System Hardware
      3.1.3 Intelligent Security System Controller Hardware
   3.2 Residential Monitoring
   3.3 Residential Labor Revenue
   3.4 Total Residential Security Revenues

 

FIGURES

Figure 1-1 Comparison of Security Levels According to Installation Type
Figure 1-2 Housing Definitions
Figure 1-3 Forecast Model for the Residential Security Market
Figure 1-4 Total Established U.S. Households
Figure 1-5 Total Available Market for Residential Security Systems
Figure 1-6 Breakdown of U.S. Households by Type
Figure 1-7 Market Value of Primary Residence
Figure 1-8 2001 Security System Penetration by Category
Figure 1-9 Average Single-Family Home Value in Current Dollars vs. Constant Inflation
Figure 1-10 Issues Affecting New Housing Starts vs. Existing Housing
Figure 1-11 Sources of Disaster
Figure 1-12 Forecast Data Sources
Figure 1-13 Parks Associates' Assumptions for the Security Industry's Evolution
Figure 1-14 Forecast Drivers
Figure 1-15 The Basic Security System
Figure 1-16 Time Scenario for Return on Mass-Market Security
Figure 1-17 Security Product Evolution
Figure 1-18 Direct Marketing for Low-Price Security Systems
Figure 1-19 The Pros and Cons of Mass-Marketed Security Systems
Figure 1-20 Integration of Home Controls with Home Security
Figure 1-21 Inputs to Parks Associates' 2001 Housing Forecast
Figure 1-22 Total Established Single-Family Housing by Dollar Value
Figure 1-23 Percent of Home Builders that Offer Security Systems as Standard or Optional
Figure 1-24 Dealer-Installed Penetration for Existing Single-Family Homes
Figure 1-25 Percent of Replacements Out of Security Controller Sales
Figure 1-26 Average End-User Price of a Security System
Figure 1-27 Monthly Monitoring Price by Company (2001)
Figure 1-28 Initial Sales of Security Systems by Category
Figure 1-29 Percent of Total Homes with Security Systems
Figure 1-30 Total Residential Security Revenues (in millions)
Figure 1-31 Number of U.S. Households Without a Security System

Figure 2-1 Total Established U.S. Households
Figure 2-2 Total Established Single-Family U.S. Homes by Home Value (Percentage)
Figure 2-3 Number of Existing Homes Adding Dealer-Installed Security Systems
Figure 2-4 Total Existing Single-Family U.S. Homes Adding Dealer-Installed Security
Systems by Home Value (Percentage & Thousands)
Figure 2-5 Number of Homes Replacing Existing Security Systems
Figure 2-6 Percentage of Existing Homes Adding Dealer-Installed Security Systems
Figure 2-7 Number of New U.S. Housing Starts
Figure 2-8 Total New-Start Single-Family U.S. Homes (Percentage)
Figure 2-9 Percentage of New Homes Adding Dealer-Installed Security Systems
Figure 2-10 Number of New Homes Adding Dealer-Installed Security Systems
Figure 2-11 Total New-Home Starts Adding Dealer-Installed Security by Home Value
Figure 2-12 Total Initial Sales of Security Systems
Figure 2-13 Total Initial Sales of Security Systems by Category
Figure 2-14 Initial Dealer-Installed Sales to Single-Family Homes by Home Value
Figure 2-15 Percentage of All Homes with Security Systems by Security System Type
Figure 2-16 Number of Homes with DIY Security Systems
Figure 2-17 Penetration Rate for Dealer-Installed Security Systems
Figure 2-18 Total Single-Family Penetration for Dealer-Installed Security by Home Value
Figure 2-19 Total Number of Homes with Dealer-Installed Security Systems

Figure 3-1 Average Security System Controller Price
Figure 3-2 Security System Controller Revenues
Figure 3-3 Average DIY Controller and Sensor Prices
Figure 3-4 DIY Sensor Prices by Home Value in Dollars
Figure 3-5 DIY Controller and Sensor Revenues
Figure 3-6 DIY Sensor Revenues by Home Value in Dollars
Figure 3-7 Average Dealer-Installed Controller and Sensor Prices
Figure 3-8 Regular Dealer-Installed Sensor Prices by Home Value in Dollars
Figure 3-9 Dealer-Installed Controller and Sensor Revenues
Figure 3-10 Regular Dealer-Installed Sensor Revenues by Home Value in Dollars
Figure 3-11 Average ISSC Controller and Sensor Prices
Figure 3-12 ISSC Sensor Price by Home Value in Dollars
Figure 3-13 Total ISSC Revenues
Figure 3-14 ISSC Hardware Revenues by Home Value in Dollars
Figure 3-15 Average Monthly Monitoring Fees
Figure 3-16 Total Monitoring Revenues
Figure 3-17 Forecast of Total Monitored Revenues by Home Value in Dollars
Figure 3-18 Monitoring Revenues by Housing Category
Figure 3-19 Percentage of Monitoring Revenues by Type (DIY vs. Dealer-Installed)
Figure 3-20 DIY Revenues by Category (Monitoring and Hardware Revenues) in millions
Figure 3-21 Dealer-Installed Labor Revenues
Figure 3-22 Hardware, Labor, and Monitoring Revenues in Millions
Figure 3-23 Number of U.S. Households Without a Security System

ATTRIBUTES
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, in any form or by any means, without permission in writing from the publisher.

Printed in the United States of America.
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