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THE RESIDENTIAL GATEWAY REPORT: 4th EDITION

AN INDUSTRY REPORT FROM PARKS ASSOCIATES

By Parks Associates

Publish Date: May 02
Purchase Report Online

SYNOPSIS

Parks Associates updates its groundbreaking Third Edition report by continuing to identify and classify key residential gateway segments, players, and markets.  With profiles of more than 70 key RG players, the latest consumer data, and updated forecasts, this report provides a comprehensive overview of the opportunities and challenges in the residential gateway market.

Growth for RG Markets

"The residential gateway (RG) market will exceed annual revenues of $2.6 billion by 2006 which sees consumers and broadband service providers combining to drive this market from opposite ends, " said Michael Greeson, Parks Associates. " This growth will come as service providers embrace multiservice business models and consumers come to understand the value of home networks.

 

CONTENTS
PART I

1.0 Understanding the Residential Gateway As a Product Category
   1.1 Defining the Residential Gateway 
   1.2 The RG Integration Matrix 
   1.3 Non-RG Consumer-Premised Equipment 
      1.3.1 Broadband Modems 
      1.3.2 Bridges 
      1.3.3 Hubs 
      1.3.4 Switches 
      1.3.5 Set-Top Boxes 
      1.3.6 Wireless Access Points 
      1.3.7 Virtual Residential Gateways 
               Data-Centric Virtual RGs (a.k.a. Home Routers) 
               Telemetry & Control Virtual Gateways

2.0 Residential Gateway Subcategories 
   2.1 Single-Service RGs 
   2.2 Multiservice RGs 
      2.2.1 Data & Voice RGs 
      2.2.2 Entertainment RGs 
               Set-Top RGs 
               Media Servers 
               Data & Telemetry/Control RGs 
      2.2.3 Whole-Home RGs 

3.0 Profiles of Residential Gateway Vendors
   3.1 2Wire
   3.2 3e Technologies International 
   3.3 Accton Technology Corporation 
   3.4 Actiontec Electronics, Inc. 
   3.5 Agere Systems 
   3.6 Allied Telesyn 
   3.7 Arescom 
   3.8 Arris Interactive
   3.9 Asante Technologies, Inc. 
   3.10 Avaya 
   3.11 Belkin Components 
   3.12 Buffalo Technology 
   3.13 Celestian Technologies 
   3.14 Coactive Networks 
   3.15 Com-21 
   3.16 Compex
   3.17 Comverge 
   3.18 D-Link 
   3.19 Echelon 
   3.20 Efficient Networks 
   3.21 Eicon Networks 
   3.22 Ericcson 
   3.23 Everex 
   3.24 Infinilink 
   3.25 Intel 
   3.26 Linksys
   3.27 Meta Vector
   3.28 Motorola
   3.29 muNet 
   3.30 MultiTech Systems 
   3.31 Netgear
   3.32 Netopia
   3.33 Nexland
   3.34 Nokia 
   3.35 Pace Micro
   3.36 Panasonic
   3.37 Proxim
   3.38 Scientific Atlanta
   3.39 Siemens 
   3.40 SMC Networks 
   3.41 SOHOware 
   3.42 Thomson Multimedia
   3.43 US Robotics
   3.44 Westell Technologies 
   3.45 Worldwide Packets 
   3.46 Xsense
   3.47 ZoomAir 
   3.48 ZyGATE Technologies 
   3.49 Zyxel

PART II

1.0 High Stakes & Privileged Positioning: The Unique Role of the RG in the Broadband Value Chain
   1.1 Understanding Convergence
      1.1.1 Network Convergence
      1.1.2 Access Convergence
      1.1.3 Services Convergence
      1.1.4 Premises Convergence
      1.1.5 Converging Convergences
   1.2 WAN-Side Value Chain
   1.3 LAN Side Value Chain
   1.4 Enter the Residential Gateway

2.0 Supply-Side Analysis 
   2.1 Supply-Side Drivers
      2.1.1 RG-Related Technology Advancements
               Semiconductor Technology
               Software Technology 
               Integrated Solutions
      2.1.2 Improved Availability of Residential Broadband and Networking Services
               Increased Broadband Availability
               Cable Service Providers
               DSL Providers 
               The Role of the FCC
               Concomitant Push for Home Networks
      2.1.3 Evolving Business Models: The Rationale of the Multi-Service Platform
               Declining Legacy Revenues
               Fiscal Conservatism
               The Lure of Bundled Services
               The Service Options
               Examples of Multiservice Models
               Cox Communications 
               America Online
      2.1.4 Multiservice Platforms Require Residential Gateways 
   2.2 Supply-Side Inhibitors
      2.2.1 Pull Back in Capital Expenditures Among BSPs
      2.2.2 The Liabilities of Depending Upon the Broadband Value Chain
               The Sufficiency Paradox
               The Paradox Defined
               The Challenges of Making the Jump to Multiservice Platforms
      2.2.3 Inappropriate Market & Distribution Strategies
               Service-Driven (or Pull) versus Device-Driven (or Push) Markets
               So Why Does This Matter to the RG Market?

3.0 Demand-Side Analysis
   3.1 Demand-Side Drivers
      3.1.1 Trends in Consumer Adoption of Broadband 
               Consumers Interested In Upgrading To Broadband
               Consensus That Residential Broadband Market Will Continue To Expand
               Broadband Demand in the Short-Term
               The Power of Bundling Legacy & Next-Generation Services
      3.1.2 Trends in Consumer Adoption of Home Networking 
               Relationship Between Broadband & Home Networking
               Short-Term Home Network Demand 
               Long-Term Demand for Home Networking
               Role of Home Networking in Enabling the Delivery of New Services to the Home
      3.1.3 Discernible Consumer Interest in Next-Generation Services
               New Telephony and Communications Services
               New Entertainment Services
               New Data Services
               Comparing Consumer Interest in Broadband-Enabled Services
               Among Broadband and Soon-To-Be Broadband Households
               Telemetry, Control and Monitoring Services 
   3.2 Demand-Side Inhibitors
      3.2.1 Softening Consumer Demand for Broadband Service
               Quarter-Over-Quarter Growth Rates
               Demand-Side Reasons that Quarterly Broadband Growth 
               is Softening
               High Levels of Satisfaction Among Current Narrowband Subscribers
                Broadband is Too Expensive
      3.2.2 Why Faster Throughput Is Not a Compelling Value Proposition 
               (or, The Dangers of Selling Speed) 

4.0 Turning Potential into Opportunity: Neutralizing the Inhibitors
   4.1 Closing the Gap Between Innovation and Adoption
      4.1.1 The Innovation Curve Vs. The Consumer Adoption Curve
      4.1.2 Moving from the Language of Technology to the Language 
               of Consumer Needs & Benefits
               Differentiating Between Consumer Segments
               Early Adopters Vs. Mainstream Consumers
               Demographic Characteristics of Relevant Consumer Segments
               Constructing a Language of Needs & Benefits
   4.2 Adapting Strategy to Market Evolution
      4.2.1 Michael Porter and the Product Life Cycle
      4.2.2 Understanding the Evolution of Technology Markets
      4.2.3 Using Porter and Moore to determine if the Time is Right for the RG
      4.2.4 The Challenges of Marketing in Emerging Environments
    4.3 Leveraging the Broadband Value Chain to Grow RG Sales
      4.3.1 RG Distribution Channels
      4.3.2 Seeing the Residential Marketplace through the Eyes 
               of the Service Provider
               Matching Product Development Strategy to VAS Roll-Outs 
               Hedging Your Bets
               Enter the Modular Approach to Platform Evolution
               Addresses the Sufficiency Paradox
               Serves as a Strong Competitive Differentiator

5.0 Residential gateway forecasts through 2006
  5.1 Reintroducing the RG Integration Matrix
    5.2 Forecasts for Each RG Classification
      5.2.1 Data-Centric RGs Virtual Versus "True" Data-Centric RGs 
               Total Data-Centric RGs
      5.2.2 Telemetry & Control Gateways
      5.2.3 Multiservice RGs
               Data & Voice RGs
               Data & Entertainment RGs
               Data & Telemetry/Control RGs
               Overall Multiservice RG Forecasts
      5.2.4 Whole-Home RGs
               Structured Wiring RG Solutions versus Whole-Home Servers
               Total Whole-Home RG Forecasts
      5.3 Total Market Forecasts Through 2006

 

FIGURES
PART I
Figures in Section 1.0
The RG Integration Matrix
Overview of Non-RG CPE Functionality 
Examples of Data-Centric Virtual RGs
Examples of Telemetry & Control RGs

Figures in Section 2.0
RG Types within Product Subcategories
Examples of Data-Centric RGs
Examples of Data & Voice RGs
Evolution of the Set-Top Box
Examples of Set-Top and Media Server RGs
Whole-Home Server Graphic
Example of Whole-Home Servers

PART I
Figures in Section 1.0
Converging Convergence
WAN-Side Value Chain
LAN-Side Value Chain

Figures in Section 2.0
Evolution of the Residential Gateway
Semicondctor Manufactureres in the RG Space
Software Providers in the RG Space
OSGi and its Relationship to Other Standards
GlobespanVirata’s Helium 210-80: Features
GlobespanVirata’s Helium 210-80: Software Stack
Cable MSO Broadband Network Upgrades
DSL Network Upgrades
Examples of Home Networking Solutions Offered by BSPs
Service Possibilities for Broadband Service Providers
Cox Communications’ Network Upgrades
Cox Communications’ Future Capital Spending
Cox Communications’ Bundled Penetration Trends
Cox Communications’ Impact of Bundling on Churn
AOL’s Bundled Service Dream 
Inevitability of Mass RG Distribution 
The Sufficiency Paradox Defined
Sufficiency and CPE Functionality

Figures in Section 5.0
Consumer Intention to Upgrade to Broadband Service
Forecasts for U.S. Broadband Subscribers through 2005
Quarterly Cable Broadband Growth
Quarterly DSL Broadband Growth
Consumer Comfort in Bundling Services from a Single Provider
Consumer Likelihood of Switching Service Providers for Bundles
Relationship between Broadband and Home Networks (1) 
Relationship between Broadband and Home Networks (2) 
PC LAN Ownership in the U.S. 
Likelihood of Consumers Adopting PC LAN in Next 12 Months
Consumer Adoption Model for PC LANs
Most Valuable Applications of a Home Network to Consumers
Consumer Interest in Video Calling Services
Consumer Interest in Secondary Telephony at Different Price Points
Consumer Interest in Various Telephony-Related Services
Consumer Interest in Unified Messaging Services
Consumer Interest in Video-on-Demand
Consumer Interest in PVR Services
Consumer Interest in Audio Networking
Consumer Interest in Firewall Services 
Consumer Interest in Parental Control Filtering Services
Interest Differences Between Current and Future Broadband Subscribers
Consumer Interest in Remote Security Monitoring Services
Consumer Interest in Remote Baby-Cams & Security Cameras
Consumer Interest in Remote Appliance Diagnostic Services
Consumer Interest in Remote HVAC Diagnostics
Consumer Interest in Remote Energy Monitoring Services
Total Qwest Capital Investments by Product Group
Quarterly Subscriber Growth Among Specific DSL Providers 
Quarterly Subscriber Growth Among Specific Cable MSOs
Primary Reasons Consumers Do Not Want to Upgrade to Broadband
Current Satisfaction Levels Among Narrowband Subscribers
Importance of Faster Speed in Decision to Purchase Broadband

Figures in Section 4.0
Pressures on the RG Market
The Consumer and Cultural Lag
Early Adopts and the Early Mass Market
Demographic Characteristics of Relevant Consumer Segments
The Language of Broadband-Enabled Services
Shifting Consumer Priorities
Porter’s Theory of Product Life Cycles
Evolution of Technology Markets
Marketing Brand versus Marketing Category
Channels of Electronics Product Distribution
Shift from Stand-Alone Modems to Residential Gateways
New Service Rollout Projections (1) 
New Service Rollout Projections (2) 

Figures in Section 5.0
The RG Integration Matrix
RG Types within Product Subcategories
Forecast Model for Data-Centric RGs
Forecast for U.S. Residential Broadband Subscribers
Relationship Between Broadband and Home Networks 
PC LAN Consumer Adoption Model
Breakdown of Projected Data-Centric RG Shipments Through 2006
Data-Centric Virtual RG Revenue Through 2006
True Data-Centric RG Revenue Through 2006
Data-Centric RG Forecasts Through 2006
Total Data-Centric RG Revenue Through 2006
Forecast Model for Multiservice RGs (1) 
Forecast Model for Multiservice RGs (2) 
Data & Telephony Multiservice RG Shipments Through 2006 
Data & Telephony Multiservice RG Revenue Through 2006
Data & Entertainment Multiservice RG Shipments Through 2006
Data & Entertaiment Multiservice RG Revenue Through 2006
Breakdown of Data & Entertainment Multiservice Shipments 
Set-Top RG Revenue Through 2006
Media Server Revenue Through 2006
Data & Monitoring/Control Multiservice RG Shipments Through 2006
Data & Monitoring/Control Multiservice RG Revenue Through 2006
Total Multiservice RG Shipments Through 2006
Totol Multiservice RG Revenue Through 2006 
Forecast Model for Whole-Home RGs
Breakdown of Whole-Home RG Shipments Through 2006
Structured Wiring RG Solutions Revenue Forecast Through 2006
Whole-Home Server RG Revenue Forecast Through 2006
Whole-Home RG Shipments Through 2006
Whole-Home RG Revenue Through 2006
Total Annual RG Shipments Through 2006
Total RG Revenue Through 2006
Breakdown of Annual RG Shipments: 2002
Breakdown of Annual RG Shipments: 2006

Breakdown of RG Shipments Through 2006

 

ATTRIBUTES
Executive Editor: Tricia Parks
Published by Parks Associates

© May 2002 Parks Associates
Dallas, Texas 75230

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, in any form or by any means, without permission in writing from the publisher.

Printed in the United States of America.

 

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