FTTx and BPL: Analysis and Outlook

This report analyzes market trends and significant events that will impact FTTx and BPL deployments over the next five years. It also addresses consumer and competitive pressures that will influence these methods, the economics associated with the deployment of these technologies and the opportunities FTTx and BPL provides for vendors and service providers.

“Both consumer demand and business factors will drive growth in BPL,” saidParks Associates. “On the consumer side, many rural residents don’t have access to DSL or cable, but every house in the U.S. has access to power lines. This technology is often the only option for these residents to receive broadband service. On the business side, utility companies will also drive BPL’s growth. BPL gives utilities more information to better manage power demand and troubleshoot line issues.”

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The Bottom Line

1.0 Notes On Methodology

2.0 Internet Services Market Overview

2.1 Today’s Internet Services Market

2.2 Internet Services Market Opportunities

2.2.1 The Rural Gap

2.2.2 Bandwidth Demand

3.0 Broadband Over Power Lines Market Analysis

3.1 BPL, what is it and why now?

3.1.1 Communication over the grid

3.1.2 Utility Company Perspective

3.1.3 Internet Service and Content Provider Perspective

3.1.4 Wireless, Friend or Foe?

3.2 Impact of Regulations and Standards

3.2.1 Regulatory and Legislative Landscape

3.2.2 BPL Industry Standards

3.3 Economics of BPL

3.3.1 BPL Costs

3.3.2 Economic Distribution Models

3.4 BPL Deployments

4.0 FTTx Market Analysis

4.1 The Move to Fiber

4.1.1 The Threat of Cable

4.1.2 Demand for Broadband Services

4.2 Fiber Deployment Strategies

4.2.1 How “Deep”?

4.2.2 Strategies of Telcos

4.2.3 Regulation and Legislative Impact

4.3 Fiber Network Deployments

5.0 Market Forecasts

6.0 Market Implications

Resource Book

Section I: Trends in Internet Adoption

Internet Service Penetration

High Intenders

Section II: Consumer Satisfaction, Retention and Churn

Section III: Service Options, Awareness and Utilization

Bundled Services and VAS Options

Service Provider-Provisioned Home Networks

Internet/PC Security Services

Storage/Backup Services

Section IV: Interest in Guaranteed Bandwidth and Upload Speed Perception

Section V: Profiles of FTTx Product and Service Providers

Verizon Communications Inc.

SBC/AT&T Inc.

BellSouth Corporation

SureWest Communications

Nippon Telegraph and Telephone (NTT)

Korea Telecom (KT)

Alcatel

Motorola, Inc.

Tellabs

Section VI: Profiles of BPL Product and Service Providers

Current Technologies, LLC

Corinex Corporation

MainNet - Power Line Communications, Inc.

Ambient Corporation

Utility.net, LLC

International Broadband Electric Communications, Inc. (IBEC)

Telkonet, Inc.

Motorola, Inc.

Design of Systems on Silicon (DS2)

Intellon

TXU Electric Delivery

Duke Energy

CenterPoint Energy

EarthLink, Inc.

The Bottom Line

Residential Subscribers by Access Method
Internet Penetration vs. Area of Residence
Broadband Penetration vs. Area of Residence
High Intenders for Broadband Adoption vs. Area of Residence
BPL Equipment Summary
BPL Vendor Summary
Utility BPL Deployments in the U.S.
ISP and Content Provider Developments in the U.S.
Costs to Pass a Home by Broadband Technology
BPL Industry Standards Groups
BPL Economic Models
Service Bandwidth Requirements
FTTx Network Comparison
PON Technology Summary
Verizon vs. AT&T FTTx Strategy Comparison
Passed/Pending State Video Franchise Laws
FTTx Summary by Region
FTTx Forecast of U.S. Broadband Subscribers by Access Method
Forecast of U.S. FTTx Internet Service Revenue
Forecast of U.S. BPL Internet Service Revenue
U.S. ARPU Forecasts by Access Method

Resource Book

Residential High-Speed Lines
Internet Access
Current Internet Penetration vs. Area of Residence
Cable and DSL Penetration vs. Area of Residence
High Intenders for Broadband Adoption vs. Area of Residence
Likelihood for Narrowband Users to Upgrade to a Broadband Service
Preferred Service Provider for Broadband Upgrade
Preferred Service Provider for Broadband Upgrade by Area of Residence
Satisfaction Level with Current Broadband Service Provider by Type of Broadband Access
Factors Influencing Satisfaction Level with Broadband Service Providers by Type of Broadband Access
History of Switching Broadband Service Providers by Type of Broadband Access
Primary Reasons for Switching Broadband Service Provider by Type of Broadband Access
Likelihood to Switch to a Different Broadband Provider in the Next 12 Months by Type of Broadband Access
Awareness of and Subscription to a Multiple-Service, One-Bill Option
Awareness of and Subscription to Bundled Services
How Did You Hear about the Multi-Service Option?
Current Market Penetration of Multi-Play Services
Number of Broadband Households Subscribing to Bundled Services
Service Providers for Multi-Service Packages
Reasons for Not Subscribing to a Bundled Service
Adoption of Dual-Play Services among Broadband Subscribers
Dual-Play Services: Type of Service Providers
Adoption of Triple-Play Services among Broadband Subscribers
Triple-Play Services: Type of Service Providers
Current Penetration for Quad-Play Services: by Industry Type
Current Subscription to Dual-Play Services by Type of Internet Access
Current Subscription to Triple-Play and Quad-Play Services by Type of Internet Access
Has Your Service Provider Ever Offered You a Home Networking Solution?
Penetration of Home Networking Solutions from Broadband Service Providers
Important Factors that Prompted One to Accept Home Networking
Services from a Broadband Service Provider: U.S.
Reasons for Not Accepting a Home Networking Offer from a Broadband Service Provider
Factors that Impact the Decision to Accept a Home Networking Solution from a Broadband Service Provider
Internet or Home Computer Problems Experienced at Home in the Last 12 Months by Type of Internet Access
Has Your Internet Service Provider Ever Offered You Any Internet Security Services for an Additional Fee by Type of Broadband Access
Adoption of Internet Security Services Provided by Internet Service Provider: by Type of Broadband Access
Reasons for Not Accepting Security Service from Internet Service Provider: by Type of Broadband Access
Internet Service Provider’s Role in Communicating New Security Threats in an Appropriate and Timely Manner: by Type of Broadband Access
Internet Service Provider’s Role in Recommending Appropriate Actions/Solutions to Resolve Security Threats: by Type of Broadband Access
Internet Service Provider’s Role in Providing Service Response if Computers Become Infected by Viruses/Spyware: by Type of Broadband Access
Interest Level for Online Storage Solution: by Type of Broadband Access
Would You Subscribe to an Online Storage Solution at $14.99 per Month above the Cost of Internet Subscription: by Type of Internet Access
Interest in a Broadband Service that Provides Guaranteed Bandwidth
Interest in Guaranteed Bandwidth: On-Demand Bandwidth vs. Always Optimized
Perception of Broadband Upload Speed among Cable and Broadband Subscribers
Verizon FTTx Deployment by State
Verizon FiOS Service Plan and Pricing
AT&T U-verse Service Plan and Pricing
Alcatel’s Fiber-to-the-User Solution (FTTU)
Motorola Fiber-to-the-Premise and Node Solutions
Tellabs® DynamicHomeSM Solution
Current Technologies Products
Current Technologies BPL Deployment
Corinex Products
Corinex BPL Deployment
MainNet Products
MainNet BPL Deployment
Ambient Products
Ambient BPL Deployment
Telkonet Products
Motorola Canopy™ Wireless Broadband Platform
DS2 Powerline Communication ICs for BPL Deployment
Intellon HomePlug® Products

Publish Date: 1Q 2007

Pages: 143


Authored By:
Parks Associates - About Parks Associates

Executive Editor: Tricia Parks
Published by Parks Associates

© January 2007 Parks Associates
Dallas, Texas 75230

All rights reserved.  No part of this book may be reproduced, in any form or by any means, without permission in writing from the publisher.

Printed in the United States of America. 

Disclaimer
Parks Associates has made every reasonable effort to ensure that all information in this report is correct.  We assume no responsibility for any inadvertent errors.

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