FEATURED
IN: CE Pro, May 2001
by: Kurt Scherf,
Parks Associates
From
its early days when it was conceived as a "black box" to be
mounted on the side of the home primarily serve the interests of energy
utility companies, the concept of the residential gateway has grown by
leaps and bounds. By the end of 2000, for example, Parks Associates
estimates that well over 30 companies were involved in the development of
reference designs for hardware platforms alone. A host of companies are
also working behind the scenes, providing software solutions that tie
end-user devices to the Internet (and presumably service providers mining
this data) via residential gateway solutions.
The opportunities in the residential gateway marketplace are immense,
as recent research indicates. Parks Associates, for example, projects that
as many as 33 million residential gateways will be installed in U.S.
residences by the end of 2005. Furthermore, the market value of these
devices will grow from $1.7 billion this year to nearly $3 billion by the
end of 2005 (Figure 1).

Opportunities
exist for a variety of players in this market; however, there appears to
be just as much confusion about how the market will evolve. The most
important questions concerning the subject are: What is a residential
gateway, and what does (should) it provide in the way of service
capabilities?
Other questions that further probe the subject are: Is
there any indication as to what services consumers even want (need)? Some
of the secondary questions revolve around the different types of
residential gateways now (or soon to be) available. Are there different
models for rolling them out? What will be the role of the service provider
in distributing both the hardware platforms and associated services to the
end user?
These questions will be sorted out in due time.
Residential
Gateway Definitions and Classifications
Although the argument of "What is a residential gateway" may
never be settled, Parks Associates has settled on a definition that
includes: an embedded broadband modem, routing capabilities, and some kind
of security and/or firewall protection. Admittedly, this definition does
leave out a class of devices that Parks Associates has classified as
"Thin Server Gateways," devices traditionally tied to energy
utility service and enable telemetry applications. To leave these devices
out of the discussion - because they do not necessarily rely on broadband
Internet connections - does a disservice to a class of solutions that will
be increasingly important in coming years. Therefore, they are left in the
discussion.
Parks Associates breaks the RG space into classifications,
as noted in Figure 2. The categories include:
Virtual Gateways:
What Parks Associates defines as a "two-box" solution, it's the
combination of a broadband modem and a routing/firewall device.
Web-Centric
RGs: A "one-box" solution that brings the broadband modem,
routing, and firewall features into one unit.
Set-Top RGs: An
evolution from the set-top boxes familiar to most users of cable or
satellite television services, next generation devices will include
routing and other advanced features to enable multiple services.
Multi-Service
RGs: A "one-box" solution that includes a number of
technologies that enable the delivery of numerous services - including
voice, video, and data - to multiple devices in the home.
Thin Server
Gateways: As mentioned earlier, devices that will first and foremost
enable energy utilities to monitor and manage energy consumption over a
two-way connection, and provide real-time data to both the consumer and
the service provider.
Whole-House RGs: Leveraging a structured
wiring solution, these systems can tie together all low-voltage subsystems
(communications, data, control, security, etc.) to manage and control
nearly all of a home's functions.

Early
Rollout
At this point, it's nearly cliché to remark that broadband Internet
access drives home networking; this point has been made repeatedly. Parks
Associates' own early-market research finds that households with broadband
Internet access are seven times more likely than dial-up households to
have a PC network.
So, what does this mean for the early rollout of
residential gateways - particularly those aimed at the broadband side?
Early indications are that - as in the case of other home networking
solutions currently being marketed - that fairly simple applications will
drive RG growth over the next one to two years.
"The most
compelling application for consumers today is just basic shared high-speed
access," avers John Marshall, Director of Product Management for
2Wire Inc. (San Jose, CA), that develops solutions in the Virtual,
Web-Centric, and Multi-Service RG categories. 2Wire's approach - over the
short-term - therefore is to simplify the installation and set-up of basic
broadband Internet access. Other players agree that this is the short-term
value proposition for RG deployment.
"I think finding ways to have
consumers be able to install modems and RGs themselves is the key,"
said Steffan Truvé, CEO and President of Gatespace AB (Göteborg, Sweden
and Menlo Park, CA), a company that focuses on Internet connectivity
between end-user devices and service providers via software-enabled
residential gateways. Truvé iterates that, once broadband connections
reach a critical mass of households, that other applications - home
control, distributed entertainment, and others - will follow. Anticipating
that a variety of service providers will want to be the operators that
provide these applications, Gatespace is heavily involved with work in the
Open Services Gateway Initiative (OSGi), a consortium-led effort to
standardize software solutions for multi-service RGs.
The RG Extends
into Other Applications
As much buzz as the broadband RGs have created, other RGs are not
necessarily dependent on high-speed connections to the home (at least in
first-generation solutions) to fuel their growth. These RGs, falling under
Parks Associates' categories of Thin Server Gateways, are aimed squarely
at meeting the power and cost savings needs of the energy utility
industry. So, having gone from the energy utilities' "black box"
concept of the early and mid-1990s which raised interest, but then all but
disappeared from the headlines. So, why is the industry now revisiting the
concept of a telemetry-based RG?
"The United States is becoming
peak-power short," argues Tim Vail, Director of Products and Services
for The New Power Company (Purchase, NY), a national provider of
electricity and natural gas to residential and small commercial customers
in the United States, which specializes in serving deregulated areas. Vail
avers that, as deregulation moves forward, it will be critical to provide
consumers with real-time information about the fluctuating prices that are
inherent in energy provision so they can make better choices concerning
electricity usage. "We've got to put in tools where consumers can see
these price signals; otherwise it's going to spiral out of control,"
he says.
For these and other reasons, NewPower has joined forces with
Coactive Networks (Sausalito, CA) to implement Coactive's "e-services
gateway" for energy management solutions. On March 14, 2001, the
Companies announced a strategic alliance that will include outfitting
households with telemetry e-services, including energy management and home
control. NewPower plans to launch a pilot project this year, turning
existing homes in the eastern U.S. into Internet-enabled, smart homes.
According to Coactive’s Adam Marsh, the Company’s Chief Strategy
Office and co-founder, the relationship formed with NewPower goes beyond
simply selling a technology solution. "We will help NewPower to
define the services and integrate the system as a whole with the
gateway," he said. "Rather than just be a box vendor, we’re
going to work actively with them to ensure that the applications take
advantage of the platform."
The companies indicate that this summer’s pilot program will go a
long way to answering the question of what additional services consumers
will want from the service provider via the RG. Perhaps more importantly,
it will also help determine how much a service provider can charge for
those additional applications.
Companies such as GateSpace have also concerned themselves with such
questions, according to Truvé. Because, as the CEO argues, the entry of
service providers will be critical in deploying residential gateways in
larger numbers, any partnership with them cannot stop with simply the
provisioning of technology solutions. Truvé argues that his company must
extend the service provider’s value proposition by identifying
"what consumers are willing to pay for."
Another critical aspect of the RG business model is the question of
whether the device is subsidized up front by the service provider.
Vail addressed this, by indicating that – at least in his opinion –
it may make more sense for an energy provider to go ahead and fully
subsidize the RG solution. "The great thing about energy management
above the other solutions is that it creates value in and of itself,"
said Vail. "That creates a savings opportunity, unlike the other
solutions that require some sort of revenue uplift."
Coactive’s Marsh believes that the government – either at the
federal or state level – may also play a key role in providing funding
for such projects, given the widescale attention that California’s
energy crisis in the winter of 2000-2001 brought. NewPower’s Vail said
that he is also hopeful that the government would step in to help these
programs. "We’re on the right side of this issue," he argued.
"It’s the right thing for business, and it’s the right thing for
the environment."

What does all of this mean to the installer?
As much importance as is placed on high-level discussions about
"revenue streams," "business models," and "rollout
strategies" in certain circles, these deliberations are ethereal to the
installing dealer community, unless some concrete value can be proven.
According to the players in the RG space, dealers and installers have at
least two opportunities to ride the expected growth in residential gateway
deployment.
"Most of the DSL or telco providers are talking about
some way of owning the platform," said John Barr, President of OSGi and
Director of Architecture and Technology Strategy for Personal Area Networks
for Motorola Inc. (Schaumburg, IL). "They want to provide value-added
services as a base, such as voice or video distribution. They need people to
get out there an install and turn those things on. I see that as a good
business model."
This model for residential gateway installation and
maintenance may very well emerge through partnerships with service
providers. On the other hand, unique solutions are also emerging that enable
dealer installers to distribute and install gateway solutions directly. TII
Network Technologies (Copiague, NY), for example, is offering a product
called Digital Closet™ that can be installed in the estimated 104 million
existing U.S. households. The solution acts as the hub of a home network
that employs existing phone lines to distribute data, network PCs, and
connect peripherals. The product does this by including a 2Wire residential
gateway inside its box.
According to Tom Guzek, TII Network Technologies’ Chief
Marketing Officer, the installing dealer’s presence in the value chain of
residential gateway deployment is win/win for both the consumer and that
dealer. "What’s missing for the consumer is a very simple turnkey
approach to getting high-speed networking in the home," he asserts.
"If you go out to a retailer today and attempt to buy a
network, you’re going to run into a lot of obstacles, including
unfamiliarity with the technology. Nine times out of then, a sales associate
can’t convey all the things that it can do.
"The professional installation community sees it as an
enormous opportunity, because they couldn’t go after this market
before," Gruzek continued. "What we perceive as our marketing plan
is to develop a national network of trained digital repairmen of the future,
and these are people who install products and also become the go-to people
if the consumer has a problem."
Barr sees this value proposition in much the same light,
adding that the RG provides the installer with a great deal more flexibility
in the kinds of systems that can be installed in a home. The needs of
consumers in terms of the applications they want will be varied, Barr
argues, which has typically meant that the installer has provided solutions
that adhere to different networking technologies that have traditionally not
coexisted. This, both Barr and Gatespace’s Truvé asset, will change via
the implementation of open services gateways, which can bridge disparate
solutions and create more flexibility for the end-user – and the installer
– in selecting the kinds of systems and end-user devices that connect to
the network.
Marshall notes that the installer provides a multi-faceted
value chain in the RG space. "The dealer can play a prime role in
enabling the consumer not only to know how to get access to the high-speed
network, but also how to take advantage of it," he argues. "It’s
kind of like the next step in informing consumers that there’s something
else beyond the router."
Marshall says that, thanks to increased rollout of
multi-service RGs down the road, the installer’s product line could expand
to include MP3 "jukeboxes," unified messaging devices, and video
A/V receivers that stream content from the Internet. ""In either
instance," Marshall says, "there’s a strong opportunity in
finding the additional products to extend the value of the home network.
There’s almost a systems integration play for the home."
This is certainly the case in the realm of whole-house
gateways, which are riding the success of structured wiring installations to
offer benefits above and beyond that of broadband connectivity. According to
David Hurley, Vice President of Marketing for SMARTAmerica (Scotts Valley,
CA). Depending on a consumer’s needs, the whole-house RG, Hurley asserts,
is uniquely positioned to "handle all low voltage sub-systems in the
home in one location. By utilizing the proximity of sub-systems to each
other, we are able to add automation and connection between systems to
create more intelligent actions."
The value extends beyond the consumer and the installer,
however. "We are working with developers to provide them recurring
revenues from the broadband connections they provide in their
communities," said Hurley. Just as 2Wire’s Marshall argues that the
dealer can assist customers in finding broadband Internet solutions, Hurley
avers that a whole-house RG provider is well-positioned to establish
partnerships on their own. In this manner, the value chain extends from the
service provider, through the RG developer, the dealer, and ultimately the
consumer.